Tag Archive | Evan McMullin

What Explains Trump support in Utah?

MaryAnn gave some excellent analysis in wondering if LDS population was a good predictor of Trump support in Utah.  It turns out that she was right–LDS population by county was statistically insignificant in the analysis.  The best predictors of a Trump supporter were % Registered Republicans, and % Rural. This is going to be very […]


Utah: Is McMullin Fulfilling the White Horse Prophecy

Utah is leading the way for republicans who can’t stand Donald Trump AND Hillary Clinton.  A recent Deseret News poll showed Trump, Clinton, and relative unknown Evan McMullin in a statistical tie!  This poll took the statisticians at FiveThirtyEight.com by surprise, and they promised “We’re going to be adding McMullin to our model in Utah […]